{"id":4454,"date":"2026-07-31T11:29:55","date_gmt":"2026-07-31T03:29:55","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/fdinews.asia\/taiwan-gdp-forecast-2026-tier-nang-du-bao-tang-truong-dai-loan-len-1038-cier-len-1035\/"},"modified":"2026-07-31T11:29:55","modified_gmt":"2026-07-31T03:29:55","slug":"taiwan-gdp-forecast-2026-tier-nang-du-bao-tang-truong-dai-loan-len-1038-cier-len-1035","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/fdinews.asia\/zh\/taiwan-gdp-forecast-2026-tier-nang-du-bao-tang-truong-dai-loan-len-1038-cier-len-1035\/","title":{"rendered":"Taiwan GDP forecast 2026: TIER n\u00e2ng d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng \u0110\u00e0i Loan l\u00ean 10,38%, CIER l\u00ean 10,35%"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n

Trong ba ng\u00e0y cu\u1ed1i th\u00e1ng 7, hai vi\u1ec7n nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u kinh t\u1ebf l\u1edbn c\u1ee7a \u0110\u00e0i Loan c\u00f9ng n\u00e2ng m\u1ea1nh d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o, \u0111\u01b0a Taiwan GDP forecast 2026 l\u00ean v\u00f9ng hai ch\u1eef s\u1ed1. Ng\u00e0y 24\/7\/2026, Vi\u1ec7n Nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u Kinh t\u1ebf \u0110\u00e0i Loan (TIER) n\u00e2ng d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng kinh t\u1ebf \u0110\u00e0i Loan n\u0103m 2026 l\u00ean 10,38%; hai ng\u00e0y tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00f3, Vi\u1ec7n Nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u Kinh t\u1ebf Trung Hoa (CIER) n\u00e2ng d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh l\u00ean 10,35%. \u0110\u00e2y l\u00e0 d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o c\u1ee7a t\u1eebng vi\u1ec7n, kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i s\u1ed1 li\u1ec7u th\u1ed1ng k\u00ea ch\u00ednh th\u1ee9c, c\u0169ng kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i m\u1ee9c t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng \u0111\u00e3 th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n.<\/p>\n

Ba con s\u1ed1 d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o, ba t\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c<\/h2>\n

M\u1ee9c 10,38% l\u00e0 d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o c\u1ee7a TIER, cao h\u01a1n 2,82 \u0111i\u1ec3m ph\u1ea7n tr\u0103m so v\u1edbi ch\u00ednh d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o 7,56% m\u00e0 vi\u1ec7n n\u00e0y \u0111\u01b0a ra h\u1ed3i th\u00e1ng 4. M\u1ee9c 10,35% l\u00e0 d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o c\u1ee7a CIER, \u0111\u1eb7t c\u1ea1nh 4,14% h\u1ed3i th\u00e1ng 1 v\u00e0 7,22% h\u1ed3i th\u00e1ng 4. Con s\u1ed1 th\u1ee9 ba, 10,16%, l\u00e0 \u01b0\u1edbc t\u00ednh c\u1ee7a Vi\u1ec7n Nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u Trung \u01b0\u01a1ng (Academia Sinica) c\u00f4ng b\u1ed1 ng\u00e0y 13\/7; CIER cho bi\u1ebft m\u00ecnh l\u00e0 t\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c l\u1edbn th\u1ee9 hai trong n\u01b0\u1edbc d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o hai ch\u1eef s\u1ed1, sau Academia Sinica.<\/p>\n

\u0110\u1ed9ng l\u1ef1c d\u1ed3n v\u00e0o xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u \u0111i\u1ec7n t\u1eed v\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 b\u00e1n d\u1eabn<\/h2>\n

B\u1ea3n tin c\u1ee7a Focus Taiwan v\u1ec1 h\u1ecdp b\u00e1o c\u1ee7a TIER<\/a> d\u1eabn s\u1ed1 li\u1ec7u vi\u1ec7n n\u00e0y \u0111\u01b0a ra: xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u h\u00e0ng h\u00f3a n\u1eeda \u0111\u1ea7u n\u0103m 2026 t\u0103ng 47,1% so v\u1edbi c\u00f9ng k\u1ef3, ri\u00eang nh\u00f3m \u0111i\u1ec7n t\u1eed v\u00e0 s\u1ea3n ph\u1ea9m c\u00f4ng ngh\u1ec7 th\u00f4ng tin \u2013 truy\u1ec1n th\u00f4ng t\u0103ng 63,5%, c\u00f2n c\u00e1c nh\u00f3m h\u00e0ng kh\u00e1c ch\u1ec9 t\u0103ng 7,4% do c\u1ea1nh tranh v\u1ec1 gi\u00e1 t\u1eeb Trung Qu\u1ed1c v\u00e0 thu\u1ebf quan c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9.<\/p>\n

TIER n\u00e2ng d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf h\u00e0ng h\u00f3a v\u00e0 d\u1ecbch v\u1ee5 l\u00ean 21,24%, n\u00e2ng d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 t\u01b0 nh\u00e2n th\u00eam 2,67 \u0111i\u1ec3m ph\u1ea7n tr\u0103m l\u00ean 7,09% \u2014 ph\u1ea3n \u00e1nh vi\u1ec7c ng\u00e0nh b\u00e1n d\u1eabn m\u1edf r\u1ed9ng n\u0103ng l\u1ef1c ti\u1ebfn tr\u00ecnh ti\u00ean ti\u1ebfn v\u00e0 c\u00e1c t\u1eadp \u0111o\u00e0n c\u00f4ng ngh\u1ec7 qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf t\u0103ng \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 t\u1ea1i \u0110\u00e0i Loan \u2014 v\u00e0 n\u00e2ng d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o ti\u00eau d\u00f9ng t\u01b0 nh\u00e2n l\u00ean 3,73%. Vi\u1ec7n tr\u01b0\u1edfng TIER Chang Chien-yi n\u00f3i nhu c\u1ea7u AI \u201cth\u1ef1c s\u1ef1 r\u1ea5t m\u1ea1nh\u201d, d\u1eabn vi\u1ec7c Google n\u00e2ng k\u1ebf ho\u1ea1ch chi ti\u00eau v\u1ed1n.<\/p>\n

B\u1ea3n tin v\u1ec1 d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o c\u1ee7a CIER<\/a> cho bi\u1ebft vi\u1ec7n n\u00e0y \u01b0\u1edbc t\u00ednh nhu c\u1ea7u b\u00ean ngo\u00e0i r\u00f2ng \u0111\u00f3ng g\u00f3p 5,62 \u0111i\u1ec3m ph\u1ea7n tr\u0103m v\u00e0o t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng GDP n\u0103m nay, c\u1ea7u n\u1ed9i \u0111\u1ecba \u0111\u00f3ng g\u00f3p 4,73 \u0111i\u1ec3m. Vi\u1ec7n tr\u01b0\u1edfng CIER Lien Hsien-ming m\u00f4 t\u1ea3 xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u \u201cc\u1ef1c k\u1ef3, c\u1ef1c k\u1ef3 m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd\u201d v\u00e0 n\u00f3i n\u1ebfu \u0111\u00e0 n\u00e0y \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c duy tr\u00ec, xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u n\u0103m nay c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 v\u01b0\u1ee3t 900 t\u1ef7 USD \u2014 m\u1ed9t ph\u00e1t bi\u1ec3u c\u00f3 \u0111i\u1ec1u ki\u1ec7n c\u1ee7a \u00f4ng, kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i con s\u1ed1 d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o hay m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau c\u1ee7a vi\u1ec7n. CIER c\u0169ng n\u00e2ng d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng GDP n\u0103m 2027 t\u1eeb 3,4% l\u00ean 3,71%.<\/p>\n

Taiwan GDP forecast 2026 \u0111i k\u00e8m \u00e1p l\u1ef1c gi\u00e1 v\u00e0 ph\u00e2n h\u00f3a h\u00ecnh ch\u1eef K<\/h2>\n

C\u1ea3 hai vi\u1ec7n \u0111\u1ec1u n\u00e2ng d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t. TIER n\u00e2ng d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 gi\u00e1 ti\u00eau d\u00f9ng c\u1ea3 n\u0103m l\u00ean 1,98% do xung \u0111\u1ed9t M\u1ef9 \u2013 Iran t\u00e1i b\u00f9ng ph\u00e1t \u0111\u1ea9y gi\u00e1 n\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng, \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi n\u00eau \u00e1p l\u1ef1c t\u1eeb ngu\u1ed3n cung linh ki\u1ec7n li\u00ean quan \u0111\u1ebfn AI c\u0103ng th\u1eb3ng v\u00e0 t\u1eeb xu h\u01b0\u1edbng phi to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u h\u00f3a. CIER n\u00e2ng d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 gi\u00e1 ti\u00eau d\u00f9ng n\u0103m 2026 l\u00ean 2,02%, v\u01b0\u1ee3t nh\u1eb9 ng\u01b0\u1ee1ng c\u1ea3nh b\u00e1o 2% ch\u1ee7 y\u1ebfu do c\u0103ng th\u1eb3ng Trung \u0110\u00f4ng \u0111\u1ea9y gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u, v\u00e0 d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o t\u1ef7 gi\u00e1 b\u00ecnh qu\u00e2n n\u0103m nay \u1edf m\u1ee9c 31,5 \u0110\u00e0i t\u1ec7 \u0111\u1ed5i 1 USD.<\/p>\n

Ngay trong nh\u00f3m d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o c\u1ee7a CIER c\u0169ng c\u00f3 kho\u1ea3ng c\u00e1ch. B\u00e0 Chu Jung cho r\u1eb1ng \u1edf k\u1ecbch b\u1ea3n trung t\u00ednh \u0111\u1ebfn l\u1ea1c quan, t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng c\u1ee7a \u0110\u00e0i Loan n\u0103m nay c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 n\u1eb1m trong kho\u1ea3ng 9,64% \u0111\u1ebfn 10,2% \u2014 th\u1ea5p h\u01a1n con s\u1ed1 10,35% m\u00e0 vi\u1ec7n c\u00f4ng b\u1ed1. B\u00e0 c\u1ea3nh b\u00e1o c\u01a1n s\u1ed1t AI \u0111ang n\u1edbi r\u1ed9ng kho\u1ea3ng c\u00e1ch gi\u1eefa c\u00e1c ng\u00e0nh v\u00e0 gi\u1eefa c\u00e1c nh\u00f3m thu nh\u1eadp, t\u1ea1o ra n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf \u201ch\u00ecnh ch\u1eef K\u201d, v\u00e0 cho r\u1eb1ng chi ti\u00eau v\u1ed1n cho AI n\u1eeda cu\u1ed1i n\u0103m c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 ch\u1eadm l\u1ea1i khi doanh nghi\u1ec7p soi k\u1ef9 hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0.<\/p>\n

Nh\u00e0 cung \u1ee9ng Vi\u1ec7t Nam \u0111\u1ecdc g\u00ec t\u1eeb b\u1ed9 d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o n\u00e0y<\/h2>\n

\u0110\u00e0i Loan l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t trong nh\u1eefng ngu\u1ed3n cung \u0111\u1ea7u ngu\u1ed3n v\u00e0 ngu\u1ed3n v\u1ed1n \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 quan tr\u1ecdng nh\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a chu\u1ed7i \u0111i\u1ec7n t\u1eed Vi\u1ec7t Nam, n\u00ean hai b\u1ed9 d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o n\u00e0y \u0111\u00e1ng \u0111\u1ecdc nh\u01b0 t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u v\u1ec1 nh\u1ecbp c\u1ee7a \u0111\u1ea7u ngu\u1ed3n.<\/p>\n

\u1ede ph\u1ea7n \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0, c\u1ea3 hai vi\u1ec7n \u0111\u1ec1u quy m\u1ee9c n\u00e2ng d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o v\u1ec1 xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u ph\u1ea7n c\u1ee9ng AI v\u00e0 vi\u1ec7c ng\u00e0nh b\u00e1n d\u1eabn m\u1edf r\u1ed9ng n\u0103ng l\u1ef1c ti\u1ebfn tr\u00ecnh ti\u00ean ti\u1ebfn. Chu k\u1ef3 m\u1edf r\u1ed9ng c\u00f4ng su\u1ea5t \u1edf \u0111\u1ea7u ngu\u1ed3n th\u01b0\u1eddng truy\u1ec1n xu\u1ed1ng c\u00e1c kh\u00e2u \u0111\u00f3ng g\u00f3i, ki\u1ec3m \u0111\u1ecbnh, linh ki\u1ec7n v\u00e0 m\u00f4-\u0111un theo m\u1ed9t \u0111\u1ed9 tr\u1ec5, n\u00ean \u0111\u00e1ng theo d\u00f5i trong l\u1ecbch \u0111\u1eb7t h\u00e0ng v\u00e0 th\u1eddi gian giao h\u00e0ng.<\/p>\n

\u1ede ph\u1ea7n chi ph\u00ed, vi\u1ec7c c\u1ea3 hai vi\u1ec7n c\u00f9ng n\u00e2ng d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t v\u00e0 c\u00f9ng g\u1ecdi t\u00ean ngu\u1ed3n cung linh ki\u1ec7n AI nh\u01b0 m\u1ed9t ngu\u1ed3n \u00e1p l\u1ef1c gi\u00e1 l\u00e0 c\u1ea3nh b\u00e1o ph\u00eda \u0111\u1ea7u v\u00e0o: v\u1edbi nh\u00e0 m\u00e1y \u0111\u1eb7t t\u1ea1i Vi\u1ec7t Nam, kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng l\u1ea5y \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c linh ki\u1ec7n then ch\u1ed1t v\u00e0 gi\u00e1 c\u1ee7a ch\u00fang th\u01b0\u1eddng t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng \u0111\u1ebfn l\u1ecbch s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t s\u1edbm h\u01a1n c\u1ea3 nhu c\u1ea7u \u1edf \u0111\u1ea7u ra.<\/p>\n

C\u1ea3nh b\u00e1o \u201ch\u00ecnh ch\u1eef K\u201d c\u1ee7a b\u00e0 Chu Jung c\u0169ng nh\u1eafc r\u1eb1ng ph\u1ea7n h\u01b0\u1edfng l\u1ee3i kh\u00f4ng tr\u1ea3i \u0111\u1ec1u ra m\u1ecdi ng\u00e0nh: ngay trong b\u1ea3ng s\u1ed1 c\u1ee7a TIER, nh\u00f3m \u0111i\u1ec7n t\u1eed v\u00e0 nh\u00f3m h\u00e0ng c\u00f2n l\u1ea1i \u0111\u00e3 t\u00e1ch nhau r\u1ea5t r\u00f5.<\/p>\n<\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Trong ba ng\u00e0y cu\u1ed1i th\u00e1ng 7, hai vi\u1ec7n nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u kinh t\u1ebf l\u1edbn c\u1ee7a \u0110\u00e0i Loan c\u00f9ng n\u00e2ng m\u1ea1nh d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o, \u0111\u01b0a Taiwan GDP forecast 2026 l\u00ean v\u00f9ng hai ch\u1eef s\u1ed1. Ng\u00e0y 24\/7\/2026, Vi\u1ec7n Nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u Kinh t\u1ebf \u0110\u00e0i Loan (TIER) n\u00e2ng d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng kinh t\u1ebf \u0110\u00e0i Loan n\u0103m 2026 l\u00ean 10,38%; hai […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":4455,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[28],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-4454","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-asean-news"],"blocksy_meta":{"styles_descriptor":{"styles":{"desktop":"","tablet":"","mobile":""},"google_fonts":[],"version":7}},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/fdinews.asia\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4454","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/fdinews.asia\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/fdinews.asia\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fdinews.asia\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fdinews.asia\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=4454"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/fdinews.asia\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4454\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fdinews.asia\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/4455"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/fdinews.asia\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=4454"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fdinews.asia\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=4454"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fdinews.asia\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=4454"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}